Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 57.943168 65.980526 74.256630 83.381871 93.128583 103.196943 114.353383
2025-06-29 45.123261 56.471437 68.757071 82.905913 98.618608 115.413033 134.603615
2025-07-06 36.345925 49.175308 63.630734 80.832059 100.473295 121.961436 147.016494
2025-07-13 32.634678 46.992110 63.679326 84.024422 107.721788 134.069263 165.212049
2025-07-20 29.064334 44.465779 62.901869 85.883538 113.127990 143.845344 180.575929
2025-07-27 25.039896 40.911766 60.512765 85.505341 115.655480 150.111868 191.769446
2025-08-03 21.476660 37.558104 58.051548 84.761216 117.517453 155.422319 201.709046
2025-08-10 18.959938 35.326687 56.787600 85.301004 120.764572 162.233988 213.293033
2025-08-17 16.333726 32.662394 54.747592 84.687937 122.466262 167.109829 222.528961
2025-08-24 14.348263 30.706310 53.481515 84.924055 125.104554 173.022036 232.923805
2025-08-31 12.217711 28.292068 51.416705 83.981243 126.162262 176.949170 240.901098
2025-09-07 10.992252 27.157631 51.029076 85.164545 129.835304 184.005185 252.583905
2025-09-14 9.914383 26.171339 50.811570 86.573171 133.829710 191.520846 264.923328
2025-09-21 8.374365 24.208719 49.055238 85.811990 134.984082 195.517385 273.012512
2025-09-28 6.722176 21.789191 46.445420 83.739590 134.330897 197.195124 278.224426
2025-10-05 6.430680 21.901137 47.666412 86.990561 140.632598 207.532921 293.994310
2025-10-12 5.882333 21.432570 47.945196 88.888619 145.141096 215.627937 307.033911
2025-10-19 4.950695 20.030810 46.663368 88.502575 146.579001 219.838632 315.295110
2025-10-26 4.069272 18.565564 45.175711 87.743376 147.462842 223.311374 322.621442
2025-11-02 3.500547 17.704122 44.618010 88.294121 150.078372 228.963282 332.632510
2025-11-09 2.833976 16.446525 43.305425 87.668602 151.055948 232.498205 340.000202
2025-11-16 2.363548 15.580227 42.602861 87.909520 153.186634 237.492617 349.176022
2025-11-23 1.823075 14.339049 41.147190 86.947504 153.617693 240.269072 355.561508